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Super Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data With Wind From Reanalysis Data and Application to Ukraine

About

With a potentially increasing share of the electricity grid relying on wind to provide generating capacity and energy, there is an expanding global need for historically accurate, spatiotemporally continuous, high-resolution wind data. Conventional downscaling methods for generating these data based on numerical weather prediction have a high computational burden and require extensive tuning for historical accuracy. In this work, we present a novel deep learning-based spatiotemporal downscaling method using generative adversarial networks (GANs) for generating historically accurate high-resolution wind resource data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting Reanalysis version 5 data (ERA5). In contrast to previous approaches, which used coarsened high-resolution data as low-resolution training data, we use true low-resolution simulation outputs. We show that by training a GAN model with ERA5 as the low-resolution input and Wind Integration National Dataset Toolkit (WTK) data as the high-resolution target, we achieved results comparable in historical accuracy and spatiotemporal variability to conventional dynamical downscaling. This GAN-based downscaling method additionally reduces computational costs over dynamical downscaling by two orders of magnitude. We applied this approach to downscale 30 km, hourly ERA5 data to 2 km, 5 min wind data for January 2000 through December 2023 at multiple hub heights over Ukraine, Moldova, and part of Romania. This 24-year data record is the first member of the super-resolution for renewable energy resource data with wind from the reanalysis data dataset (Sup3rWind).

Brandon N. Benton, Grant Buster, Pavlo Pinchuk, Andrew Glaws, Ryan N. King, Galen Maclaurin, Ilya Chernyakhovskiy• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Wind Super-resolutionNEWA ERA5 United Kingdom domain (test)
Mean Map RMSE0.707
8
Wind Super-resolutionUnited Kingdom 7-fold CV (held-out)
RMSE (Per-timestamp)2.569
4
Wind Super-resolutionNorwegian Sea (7-fold CV held-out split)
Per-timestamp RMSE2.476
4
Wind Super-resolutionItaly 7-fold CV (held-out)
Per-timestamp RMSE2.984
4
Wind Super-resolutionSpain (7-fold CV held-out split)
RMSE (Per-timestamp)3.486
4
Wind Super-resolutionSwitzerland 7-fold CV (held-out)
Per-timestamp RMSE5.579
4
Wind Super-resolutionNorthern Sweden 7-fold CV (held-out)
RMSE (Per-timestamp)4.556
4
Wind Super-resolutionSouthern Sweden 7-fold CV (held-out)
RMSE (Per-timestamp)3.949
4
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