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Neural Flows: Efficient Alternative to Neural ODEs

About

Neural ordinary differential equations describe how values change in time. This is the reason why they gained importance in modeling sequential data, especially when the observations are made at irregular intervals. In this paper we propose an alternative by directly modeling the solution curves - the flow of an ODE - with a neural network. This immediately eliminates the need for expensive numerical solvers while still maintaining the modeling capability of neural ODEs. We propose several flow architectures suitable for different applications by establishing precise conditions on when a function defines a valid flow. Apart from computational efficiency, we also provide empirical evidence of favorable generalization performance via applications in time series modeling, forecasting, and density estimation.

Marin Bilo\v{s}, Johanna Sommer, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Tim Januschowski, Stephan G\"unnemann• 2021

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ReconstructionMuJoCo (test)
MSE4.217
51
ForecastingMIMIC-III (test)
MSE0.477
43
Multivariate Time Series ClassificationUEA 30% missing rate (test)
Accuracy53.1
39
Time-series classification18 UEA datasets Regular
Accuracy54.5
38
Irregularly Sampled Time Series ForecastingMIMIC
MSE0.6085
34
Time-series classificationUEA 18 datasets 70% Missing
Accuracy43.8
34
ClassificationActivity
Accuracy78.3
34
Irregularly Sampled Time Series ForecastingPhysionet 12 (test)
MSE0.326
28
Irregularly Sampled Time Series ForecastingUSHCN (test)
MSE0.414
26
Next observation predictionPhysioNet
MSE0.4056
26
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