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Variational Implicit Processes

About

We introduce the implicit processes (IPs), a stochastic process that places implicitly defined multivariate distributions over any finite collections of random variables. IPs are therefore highly flexible implicit priors over functions, with examples including data simulators, Bayesian neural networks and non-linear transformations of stochastic processes. A novel and efficient approximate inference algorithm for IPs, namely the variational implicit processes (VIPs), is derived using generalised wake-sleep updates. This method returns simple update equations and allows scalable hyper-parameter learning with stochastic optimization. Experiments show that VIPs return better uncertainty estimates and lower errors over existing inference methods for challenging models such as Bayesian neural networks, and Gaussian processes.

Chao Ma, Yingzhen Li, Jos\'e Miguel Hern\'andez-Lobato• 2018

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
RegressionUCI CONCRETE (test)
Neg Log Likelihood3.48
51
RegressionUCI POWER (test)
Negative Log Likelihood2.82
43
RegressionUCI NAVAL (test)
Negative Log Likelihood-4.479
42
RegressionUCI WINE (test)
Negative Log Likelihood0.96
38
RegressionBoston UCI (test)--
36
RegressionYearPredictionMSD (test)
RMSE10.23
5
Binary ClassificationHIGGS 11M instances (test)
Accuracy64.46
5
Binary ClassificationSUSY 5M instances (test)
Accuracy75.75
5
Multiclass ClassificationFashionMNIST
Error Rate9.3
2
Multiclass ClassificationCIFAR10
Error Rate35.4
2
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