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Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion for Contextual Trajectory Prediction

About

Accurate prediction of others' trajectories is essential for autonomous driving. Trajectory prediction is challenging because it requires reasoning about agents' past movements, social interactions among varying numbers and kinds of agents, constraints from the scene context, and the stochasticity of human behavior. Our approach models these interactions and constraints jointly within a novel Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion (MATF) network. Specifically, the model encodes multiple agents' past trajectories and the scene context into a Multi-Agent Tensor, then applies convolutional fusion to capture multiagent interactions while retaining the spatial structure of agents and the scene context. The model decodes recurrently to multiple agents' future trajectories, using adversarial loss to learn stochastic predictions. Experiments on both highway driving and pedestrian crowd datasets show that the model achieves state-of-the-art prediction accuracy.

Tianyang Zhao, Yifei Xu, Mathew Monfort, Wongun Choi, Chris Baker, Yibiao Zhao, Yizhou Wang, Ying Nian Wu• 2019

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Trajectory PredictionETH UCY (test)
ADE0.81
65
Trajectory PredictionZARA1 v1.0 (test)
ADE0.34
58
Trajectory PredictionETH-UCY--
57
Trajectory PredictionETH UCY Average (test)
ADE0.57
52
Trajectory PredictionHotel (test)
ADE (4.8s)0.43
49
Trajectory PredictionHotel ETH-UCY (test)
ADE0.67
48
Pedestrian trajectory predictionZARA2 UCY scene ETH (test)
ADE0.42
46
Trajectory PredictionZARA2 (test)
ADE (4.8s)0.26
45
Trajectory ForecastingETH
FDE1.75
42
Trajectory PredictionUNIV ETH-UCY (test)
ADE0.6
41
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