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Deep Archimedean Copulas

About

A central problem in machine learning and statistics is to model joint densities of random variables from data. Copulas are joint cumulative distribution functions with uniform marginal distributions and are used to capture interdependencies in isolation from marginals. Copulas are widely used within statistics, but have not gained traction in the context of modern deep learning. In this paper, we introduce ACNet, a novel differentiable neural network architecture that enforces structural properties and enables one to learn an important class of copulas--Archimedean Copulas. Unlike Generative Adversarial Networks, Variational Autoencoders, or Normalizing Flow methods, which learn either densities or the generative process directly, ACNet learns a generator of the copula, which implicitly defines the cumulative distribution function of a joint distribution. We give a probabilistic interpretation of the network parameters of ACNet and use this to derive a simple but efficient sampling algorithm for the learned copula. Our experiments show that ACNet is able to both approximate common Archimedean Copulas and generate new copulas which may provide better fits to data.

Chun Kai Ling, Fei Fang, J. Zico Kolter• 2020

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Predictive ModelingMIMIC-IV (train)
Mean Negative Log-Likelihood (NLL)4.306
14
Copula ModelingMIMIC-IV (held-out)
Negative Log-Likelihood (Test)4.307
11
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