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Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting With Heterogeneous Data

About

Reasoning about human motion is an important prerequisite to safe and socially-aware robotic navigation. As a result, multi-agent behavior prediction has become a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems, such as self-driving cars. While there exist many methods for trajectory forecasting, most do not enforce dynamic constraints and do not account for environmental information (e.g., maps). Towards this end, we present Trajectron++, a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of a general number of diverse agents while incorporating agent dynamics and heterogeneous data (e.g., semantic maps). Trajectron++ is designed to be tightly integrated with robotic planning and control frameworks; for example, it can produce predictions that are optionally conditioned on ego-agent motion plans. We demonstrate its performance on several challenging real-world trajectory forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of state-of-the-art deterministic and generative methods.

Tim Salzmann, Boris Ivanovic, Punarjay Chakravarty, Marco Pavone• 2020

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Trajectory PredictionNBA (test)
minADE200.3
143
Trajectory PredictionETH UCY (test)
ADE0.19
65
Trajectory PredictionETH-UCY
Average ADE (20)0.19
57
Trajectory PredictionETH UCY Average
ADE0.31
56
Trajectory PredictionETH UCY Average (test)
ADE0.31
52
Future Trajectory PredictionSDD (Stanford Drone Dataset) (test)
ADE8.16
51
Trajectory PredictionHotel (test)
ADE (4.8s)0.22
49
Trajectory PredictionHotel ETH-UCY (test)
ADE0.2
48
Trajectory PredictionZARA2 (test)
ADE (4.8s)0.18
45
Trajectory ForecastingETH
FDE0.83
42
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