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Deep Learning for Quantile Regression under Right Censoring: DeepQuantreg

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The computational prediction algorithm of neural network, or deep learning, has drawn much attention recently in statistics as well as in image recognition and natural language processing. Particularly in statistical application for censored survival data, the loss function used for optimization has been mainly based on the partial likelihood from Cox's model and its variations to utilize existing neural network library such as Keras, which was built upon the open source library of TensorFlow. This paper presents a novel application of the neural network to the quantile regression for survival data with right censoring, which is adjusted by the inverse of the estimated censoring distribution in the check function. The main purpose of this work is to show that the deep learning method could be flexible enough to predict nonlinear patterns more accurately compared to existing quantile regression methods such as traditional linear quantile regression and nonparametric quantile regression with total variation regularization, emphasizing practicality of the method for censored survival data. Simulation studies were performed to generate nonlinear censored survival data and compare the deep learning method with existing quantile regression methods in terms of prediction accuracy. The proposed method is illustrated with two publicly available breast cancer data sets with gene signatures. The method has been built into a package and is freely available at \url{https://github.com/yicjia/DeepQuantreg}.

Yichen Jia, Jong-Hyeon Jeong• 2020

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Censored Quantile RegressionWeibull (test)
MSE (Quantile)1.116
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm heavy (test)
MSE1.099
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm same (test)
MSE to True Quantile0.357
5
Censored Quantile RegressionLogNorm same (test)
MSE to True Quantile0.394
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm linear (test)
MSE (Quantile)1.172
5
Censored Quantile RegressionLogNorm (test)
MSE1.279
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm uniform (test)
MSE to True Quantile2.591
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm med. (test)
MSE0.255
5
Censored Quantile RegressionNorm light (test)
MSE (Quantile)0.277
5
Censored Quantile RegressionLogNorm heavy (test)
MSE2.639
5
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