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THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Sampling

About

In this paper, we propose THOMAS, a joint multi-agent trajectory prediction framework allowing for an efficient and consistent prediction of multi-agent multi-modal trajectories. We present a unified model architecture for simultaneous agent future heatmap estimation, in which we leverage hierarchical and sparse image generation for fast and memory-efficient inference. We propose a learnable trajectory recombination model that takes as input a set of predicted trajectories for each agent and outputs its consistent reordered recombination. This recombination module is able to realign the initially independent modalities so that they do no collide and are coherent with each other. We report our results on the Interaction multi-agent prediction challenge and rank $1^{st}$ on the online test leaderboard.

Thomas Gilles, Stefano Sabatini, Dzmitry Tsishkou, Bogdan Stanciulescu, Fabien Moutarde• 2021

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Motion forecastingArgoverse 2 Motion Forecasting Dataset (test)
Miss Rate (K=6)20
90
Trajectory PredictionnuScenes Prediction Challenge (test)
minADE (K=10)1.04
37
Trajectory PredictionArgoverse (test)
Min ADE0.9423
36
MotionnuScenes (val)--
34
Motion forecastingArgoverse 1 (test)
b-minFDE (K=6)1.97
30
Motion forecastingnuScenes official leaderboard (test)
minADE (5s)1.33
21
Motion PredictionArgoverse official leaderboard (test)
minADE (1 step)1.67
18
Trajectory PredictionArgoverse Motion Forecasting Leaderboard 1.0 (test)
minADE (6)0.94
12
Motion PredictionAV2 2.0 (test)
Brier Score (minFDE@6s)2.16
8
Motion PredictionArgoverse 2.0 (val)
minFDE (6s)1.51
8
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