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PSA-GAN: Progressive Self Attention GANs for Synthetic Time Series

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Realistic synthetic time series data of sufficient length enables practical applications in time series modeling tasks, such as forecasting, but remains a challenge. In this paper we present PSA-GAN, a generative adversarial network (GAN) that generates long time series samples of high quality using progressive growing of GANs and self-attention. We show that PSA-GAN can be used to reduce the error in two downstream forecasting tasks over baselines that only use real data. We also introduce a Frechet-Inception Distance-like score, Context-FID, assessing the quality of synthetic time series samples. In our downstream tasks, we find that the lowest scoring models correspond to the best-performing ones. Therefore, Context-FID could be a useful tool to develop time series GAN models.

Jeha Paul, Bohlke-Schneider Michael, Mercado Pedro, Kapoor Shubham, Singh Nirwan Rajbir, Flunkert Valentin, Gasthaus Jan, Januschowski Tim• 2021

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate long-term series forecastingExchange (test)
MSE0.018
145
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTh1 (test)
MSE0.623
134
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingWeather (test)
MSE1.22
124
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm1 (test)
MSE0.537
67
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingElectricity (test)--
36
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