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Transformer Embeddings of Irregularly Spaced Events and Their Participants

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The neural Hawkes process (Mei & Eisner, 2017) is a generative model of irregularly spaced sequences of discrete events. To handle complex domains with many event types, Mei et al. (2020a) further consider a setting in which each event in the sequence updates a deductive database of facts (via domain-specific pattern-matching rules); future events are then conditioned on the database contents. They show how to convert such a symbolic system into a neuro-symbolic continuous-time generative model, in which each database fact and the possible event has a time-varying embedding that is derived from its symbolic provenance. In this paper, we modify both models, replacing their recurrent LSTM-based architectures with flatter attention-based architectures (Vaswani et al., 2017), which are simpler and more parallelizable. This does not appear to hurt our accuracy, which is comparable to or better than that of the original models as well as (where applicable) previous attention-based methods (Zuo et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2020a).

Chenghao Yang, Hongyuan Mei, Jason Eisner• 2021

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Event PredictionStackOverflow
ACC45
58
Event Predictiontaxi
RMSEΔt0.32
40
Next event predictionTaobao
Time RMSE0.427
33
Next event predictionAMAZON
RMSE0.612
32
Event PredictionRetweet
RMSE (Time)22.19
28
Next-event time and location predictionEarthquake
Temporal RMSE1.853
27
Long-horizon predictionAMAZON
RMSE (Δt)0.427
26
Event Forecastingtaxi
RMSE0.37
23
Event PredictionRETWEET (test)
OTD30.337
22
Event PredictionTaobao (test)
OTD21.683
22
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