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Coordinated Double Machine Learning

About

Double machine learning is a statistical method for leveraging complex black-box models to construct approximately unbiased treatment effect estimates given observational data with high-dimensional covariates, under the assumption of a partially linear model. The idea is to first fit on a subset of the samples two non-linear predictive models, one for the continuous outcome of interest and one for the observed treatment, and then to estimate a linear coefficient for the treatment using the remaining samples through a simple orthogonalized regression. While this methodology is flexible and can accommodate arbitrary predictive models, typically trained independently of one another, this paper argues that a carefully coordinated learning algorithm for deep neural networks may reduce the estimation bias. The improved empirical performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through numerical experiments on both simulated and real data.

Nitai Fingerhut, Matteo Sesia, Yaniv Romano• 2022

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Binary Treatment, d=20
MAE0.3755
15
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Binary Treatment, d=50
MAE0.7999
15
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Binary Treatment, d=100
MAE1.0634
15
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Binary Treatment, d=200
MAE1.1308
15
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Continuous 20
MAE0.4039
7
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Continuous 50
MAE0.7852
7
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Continuous 200
MAE0.7457
7
Causal effect estimationSynthetic Continuous 100
Mean Absolute Error1.291
7
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