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Graph-Time Convolutional Neural Networks: Architecture and Theoretical Analysis

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Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an established approach to learn from time-invariant network data. The graph convolution operation offers a principled approach to aggregate multiresolution information. However, extending the convolution principled learning and respective analysis to the spatiotemporal domain is challenging because spatiotemporal data have more intrinsic dependencies. Hence, a higher flexibility to capture jointly the spatial and the temporal dependencies is required to learn meaningful higher-order representations. Here, we leverage product graphs to represent the spatiotemporal dependencies in the data and introduce Graph-Time Convolutional Neural Networks (GTCNNs) as a principled architecture to aid learning. The proposed approach can work with any type of product graph and we also introduce a parametric product graph to learn also the spatiotemporal coupling. The convolution principle further allows a similar mathematical tractability as for GCNNs. In particular, the stability result shows GTCNNs are stable to spatial perturbations but there is an implicit trade-off between discriminability and robustness; i.e., the more complex the model, the less stable. Extensive numerical results on benchmark datasets corroborate our findings and show the GTCNN compares favorably with state-of-the-art solutions. We anticipate the GTCNN to be a starting point for more sophisticated models that achieve good performance but are also fundamentally grounded.

Mohammad Sabbaqi, Elvin Isufi• 2022

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Traffic speed forecastingMETR-LA (test)
MAE2.68
195
Traffic speed forecastingPEMS-BAY (test)
MAE1.25
98
Weather forecastingNOAA (test)
rNMSE0.17
25
Weather forecastingMolene (test)
rNMSE0.39
25
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