Why do tree-based models still outperform deep learning on tabular data?
About
While deep learning has enabled tremendous progress on text and image datasets, its superiority on tabular data is not clear. We contribute extensive benchmarks of standard and novel deep learning methods as well as tree-based models such as XGBoost and Random Forests, across a large number of datasets and hyperparameter combinations. We define a standard set of 45 datasets from varied domains with clear characteristics of tabular data and a benchmarking methodology accounting for both fitting models and finding good hyperparameters. Results show that tree-based models remain state-of-the-art on medium-sized data ($\sim$10K samples) even without accounting for their superior speed. To understand this gap, we conduct an empirical investigation into the differing inductive biases of tree-based models and Neural Networks (NNs). This leads to a series of challenges which should guide researchers aiming to build tabular-specific NNs: 1. be robust to uninformative features, 2. preserve the orientation of the data, and 3. be able to easily learn irregular functions. To stimulate research on tabular architectures, we contribute a standard benchmark and raw data for baselines: every point of a 20 000 compute hours hyperparameter search for each learner.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global child development prediction | Global Child Development Average across regions (test) | AUC71.9 | 20 | |
| Customer Churn Prediction | Public Bank Churn Dataset (test) | Recall77.92 | 8 | |
| Student Action Prediction | OULAD Day 28 temporal cutoff | Decision Accuracy98.5 | 7 | |
| Student Action Prediction | OULAD Day 112 temporal cutoff | Decision Accuracy89.9 | 7 | |
| Student success prediction | OULAD t=14 days (strict LEAP) | Accuracy0.998 | 7 | |
| Student success prediction | OULAD t=56 days (strict LEAP) | Accuracy93.6 | 7 | |
| Student Action Prediction | OULAD Overall Aggregate | Flip Rate0.00e+0 | 7 | |
| Multi-class classification | TON_IoT | Accuracy (Fridge)99.51 | 3 | |
| Binary Classification | TON_IoT | Accuracy (Fridge)98.67 | 3 |