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Predicting Like A Pilot: Dataset and Method to Predict Socially-Aware Aircraft Trajectories in Non-Towered Terminal Airspace

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Pilots operating aircraft in un-towered airspace rely on their situational awareness and prior knowledge to predict the future trajectories of other agents. These predictions are conditioned on the past trajectories of other agents, agent-agent social interactions and environmental context such as airport location and weather. This paper provides a dataset, $\textit{TrajAir}$, that captures this behaviour in a non-towered terminal airspace around a regional airport. We also present a baseline socially-aware trajectory prediction algorithm, $\textit{TrajAirNet}$, that uses the dataset to predict the trajectories of all agents. The dataset is collected for 111 days over 8 months and contains ADS-B transponder data along with the corresponding METAR weather data. The data is processed to be used as a benchmark with other publicly available social navigation datasets. To the best of authors' knowledge, this is the first 3D social aerial navigation dataset thus introducing social navigation for autonomous aviation. $\textit{TrajAirNet}$ combines state-of-the-art modules in social navigation to provide predictions in a static environment with a dynamic context. Both the $\textit{TrajAir}$ dataset and $\textit{TrajAirNet}$ prediction algorithm are open-source. The dataset, codebase, and video are available at https://theairlab.org/trajair/, https://github.com/castacks/trajairnet, and https://youtu.be/elAQXrxB2gw respectively.

Jay Patrikar, Brady Moon, Jean Oh, Sebastian Scherer• 2021

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir (7Days-3)
ADE0.84
20
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir 7Days-2
Min ADE (5 steps)0.75
15
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir 7Days-1
minADE (5 steps)0.7
15
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir 7Days-4
Min ADE50.69
15
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir 7Days-Avg
minADE (5 steps)0.75
15
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir 111Days 1.0 (test)
Min ADE (2.0s)0.79
13
Goal predictionTrajAir (7Days-3)
FDE1.72
9
Goal predictionTrajAir 7Days-1
FDE1.42
8
Goal predictionTrajAir 7Days-4
FDE1.41
8
Trajectory PredictionTrajAir Subset 1 (7Days-1)
ADE0.73
5
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