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Learning Instrumental Variable from Data Fusion for Treatment Effect Estimation

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The advent of the big data era brought new opportunities and challenges to draw treatment effect in data fusion, that is, a mixed dataset collected from multiple sources (each source with an independent treatment assignment mechanism). Due to possibly omitted source labels and unmeasured confounders, traditional methods cannot estimate individual treatment assignment probability and infer treatment effect effectively. Therefore, we propose to reconstruct the source label and model it as a Group Instrumental Variable (GIV) to implement IV-based Regression for treatment effect estimation. In this paper, we conceptualize this line of thought and develop a unified framework (Meta-EM) to (1) map the raw data into a representation space to construct Linear Mixed Models for the assigned treatment variable; (2) estimate the distribution differences and model the GIV for the different treatment assignment mechanisms; and (3) adopt an alternating training strategy to iteratively optimize the representations and the joint distribution to model GIV for IV regression. Empirical results demonstrate the advantages of our Meta-EM compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Anpeng Wu, Kun Kuang, Ruoxuan Xiong, Minqing Zhu, Yuxuan Liu, Bo Li, Furui Liu, Zhihua Wang, Fei Wu• 2022

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Causal effect estimation180 synthetic causal datasets (test)
|ATE| Error0.429
11
Causal effect estimationIHDP U -> X (test)
Mean Absolute ATE Prop Error67.2
11
Causal effect estimationIHDP 40 confounded datasets with no true instrument candidate
Mean Abs ATE Prop Error0.704
9
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