Expanding the Deployment Envelope of Behavior Prediction via Adaptive Meta-Learning
About
Learning-based behavior prediction methods are increasingly being deployed in real-world autonomous systems, e.g., in fleets of self-driving vehicles, which are beginning to commercially operate in major cities across the world. Despite their advancements, however, the vast majority of prediction systems are specialized to a set of well-explored geographic regions or operational design domains, complicating deployment to additional cities, countries, or continents. Towards this end, we present a novel method for efficiently adapting behavior prediction models to new environments. Our approach leverages recent advances in meta-learning, specifically Bayesian regression, to augment existing behavior prediction models with an adaptive layer that enables efficient domain transfer via offline fine-tuning, online adaptation, or both. Experiments across multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that our method can efficiently adapt to a variety of unseen environments.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trajectory Prediction | nuScenes Short-term Lyft to nuS shift (test-time) | mADE60.454 | 16 | |
| Trajectory Prediction | ETH/UCY Domain Adaptation ADE (test) | ADE (A->B)0.36 | 9 | |
| Trajectory Prediction | ETH/UCY Domain Adaptation FDE (test) | Displacement Error (A->B)0.69 | 9 | |
| Trajectory Prediction | Waymo Short-term, nuS to Way shift (test-time) | mADE60.764 | 8 | |
| Trajectory Prediction | Lyft Long-term nuS to Lyft shift (test-time) | mADE61.462 | 8 | |
| Trajectory Prediction | nuScenes Long-term, Lyft to nuS shift (test-time) | mADE61.698 | 8 |