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ProphNet: Efficient Agent-Centric Motion Forecasting with Anchor-Informed Proposals

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Motion forecasting is a key module in an autonomous driving system. Due to the heterogeneous nature of multi-sourced input, multimodality in agent behavior, and low latency required by onboard deployment, this task is notoriously challenging. To cope with these difficulties, this paper proposes a novel agent-centric model with anchor-informed proposals for efficient multimodal motion prediction. We design a modality-agnostic strategy to concisely encode the complex input in a unified manner. We generate diverse proposals, fused with anchors bearing goal-oriented scene context, to induce multimodal prediction that covers a wide range of future trajectories. Our network architecture is highly uniform and succinct, leading to an efficient model amenable for real-world driving deployment. Experiments reveal that our agent-centric network compares favorably with the state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy, while achieving scene-centric level inference latency.

Xishun Wang, Tong Su, Fang Da, Xiaodong Yang• 2023

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Motion forecastingArgoverse 2 Motion Forecasting Dataset (test)
Miss Rate (K=6)18
90
Trajectory PredictionArgoverse (test)
Min ADE0.7623
36
Motion PredictionAV2 2.0 (test)
Brier Score (minFDE@6s)1.88
8
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