Our new X account is live! Follow @wizwand_team for updates
WorkDL logo mark

ATFNet: Adaptive Time-Frequency Ensembled Network for Long-term Time Series Forecasting

About

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in non-periodic series, the frequency domain excels in capturing global dependencies, making it ideal for series with evident periodic patterns. To capitalize on both of these strengths, we propose ATFNet, an innovative framework that combines a time domain module and a frequency domain module to concurrently capture local and global dependencies in time series data. Specifically, we introduce Dominant Harmonic Series Energy Weighting, a novel mechanism for dynamically adjusting the weights between the two modules based on the periodicity of the input time series. In the frequency domain module, we enhance the traditional Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) with our Extended DFT, designed to address the challenge of discrete frequency misalignment. Additionally, our Complex-valued Spectrum Attention mechanism offers a novel approach to discern the intricate relationships between different frequency combinations. Extensive experiments across multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that our ATFNet framework outperforms current state-of-the-art methods in long-term time series forecasting.

Hengyu Ye, Jiadong Chen, Shijin Gong, Fuxin Jiang, Tieying Zhang, Jianjun Chen, Xiaofeng Gao• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate long-term forecastingETTh1
MSE0.5
344
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTh2
MSE0.229
319
Multivariate long-term series forecastingWeather
MSE0.228
288
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTm1
MSE0.388
257
Multivariate long-term forecastingElectricity
MSE0.161
183
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTm2
MSE0.162
175
Multivariate long-term forecastingTraffic
MSE0.403
159
Multi-variate long-term time series forecastingsolar
MSE0.198
70
Uni-variate long-term time series forecastingETTh2 uni-variate (average)
MSE0.293
11
Uni-variate long-term time series forecastingETTm1 uni-variate (average)
MSE0.088
11
Showing 10 of 12 rows

Other info

Code

Follow for update