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Label-wise Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification

About

We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level, thereby improving cost-sensitive decision-making and helping understand the sources of uncertainty. Furthermore, it allows to define total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty on the basis of non-categorical measures such as variance, going beyond common entropy-based measures. In particular, variance-based measures address some of the limitations associated with established methods that have recently been discussed in the literature. We show that our proposed measures adhere to a number of desirable properties. Through empirical evaluation on a variety of benchmark data sets -- including applications in the medical domain where accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial -- we establish the effectiveness of label-wise uncertainty quantification.

Yusuf Sale, Paul Hofman, Timo L\"ohr, Lisa Wimmer, Thomas Nagler, Eyke H\"ullermeier• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Selective PredictionDiabetic Retinopathy (DR) grading patient-stratified (test)
AUSC (Critical FNR)0.65
10
Selective PredictionDiabetic Retinopathy (DR) (test)
AUSC0.65
10
OOD DetectionMIMIC-III ICU → Newborn (test)
OOD Ratio1.71
4
OOD DetectionFashionMNIST → KMNIST (test)
Ratio5.92
4
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