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UniST: A Prompt-Empowered Universal Model for Urban Spatio-Temporal Prediction

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Urban spatio-temporal prediction is crucial for informed decision-making, such as traffic management, resource optimization, and emergence response. Despite remarkable breakthroughs in pretrained natural language models that enable one model to handle diverse tasks, a universal solution for spatio-temporal prediction remains challenging Existing prediction approaches are typically tailored for specific spatio-temporal scenarios, requiring task-specific model designs and extensive domain-specific training data. In this study, we introduce UniST, a universal model designed for general urban spatio-temporal prediction across a wide range of scenarios. Inspired by large language models, UniST achieves success through: (i) utilizing diverse spatio-temporal data from different scenarios, (ii) effective pre-training to capture complex spatio-temporal dynamics, (iii) knowledge-guided prompts to enhance generalization capabilities. These designs together unlock the potential of building a universal model for various scenarios Extensive experiments on more than 20 spatio-temporal scenarios demonstrate UniST's efficacy in advancing state-of-the-art performance, especially in few-shot and zero-shot prediction. The datasets and code implementation are released on https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/UniST.

Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Jie Feng, Depeng Jin, Yong Li• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Air pollution forecastingChangshu Mobile
MAE8.48
17
Air pollution forecastingChangshu National
MAE14.82
17
Air pollution forecastingNanjing Mobile
MAE25.13
17
Air pollution forecastingNanjing National
MAE43.45
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Pollution Alert PredictionChangshu National
Recall0.75
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PM2.5 forecastingChangshu (National) (test)
Training Time (s)70.86
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PM2.5 forecastingNanjing Mobile
Training Time (s)106
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PM2.5 forecastingChangshu Mobile (test)
Training Time (s)108
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PM2.5 forecastingNanjing (National) (test)
Training Time (s)72.84
15
Pollution Alert PredictionNanjing National
Recall25
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