UniST: A Prompt-Empowered Universal Model for Urban Spatio-Temporal Prediction
About
Urban spatio-temporal prediction is crucial for informed decision-making, such as traffic management, resource optimization, and emergence response. Despite remarkable breakthroughs in pretrained natural language models that enable one model to handle diverse tasks, a universal solution for spatio-temporal prediction remains challenging Existing prediction approaches are typically tailored for specific spatio-temporal scenarios, requiring task-specific model designs and extensive domain-specific training data. In this study, we introduce UniST, a universal model designed for general urban spatio-temporal prediction across a wide range of scenarios. Inspired by large language models, UniST achieves success through: (i) utilizing diverse spatio-temporal data from different scenarios, (ii) effective pre-training to capture complex spatio-temporal dynamics, (iii) knowledge-guided prompts to enhance generalization capabilities. These designs together unlock the potential of building a universal model for various scenarios Extensive experiments on more than 20 spatio-temporal scenarios demonstrate UniST's efficacy in advancing state-of-the-art performance, especially in few-shot and zero-shot prediction. The datasets and code implementation are released on https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/UniST.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air pollution forecasting | Changshu Mobile | MAE8.48 | 17 | |
| Air pollution forecasting | Changshu National | MAE14.82 | 17 | |
| Air pollution forecasting | Nanjing Mobile | MAE25.13 | 17 | |
| Air pollution forecasting | Nanjing National | MAE43.45 | 17 | |
| Pollution Alert Prediction | Changshu National | Recall0.75 | 15 | |
| PM2.5 forecasting | Changshu (National) (test) | Training Time (s)70.86 | 15 | |
| PM2.5 forecasting | Nanjing Mobile | Training Time (s)106 | 15 | |
| PM2.5 forecasting | Changshu Mobile (test) | Training Time (s)108 | 15 | |
| PM2.5 forecasting | Nanjing (National) (test) | Training Time (s)72.84 | 15 | |
| Pollution Alert Prediction | Nanjing National | Recall25 | 15 |