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Heterogeneity-Informed Meta-Parameter Learning for Spatiotemporal Time Series Forecasting

About

Spatiotemporal time series forecasting plays a key role in a wide range of real-world applications. While significant progress has been made in this area, fully capturing and leveraging spatiotemporal heterogeneity remains a fundamental challenge. Therefore, we propose a novel Heterogeneity-Informed Meta-Parameter Learning scheme. Specifically, our approach implicitly captures spatiotemporal heterogeneity through learning spatial and temporal embeddings, which can be viewed as a clustering process. Then, a novel spatiotemporal meta-parameter learning paradigm is proposed to learn spatiotemporal-specific parameters from meta-parameter pools, which is informed by the captured heterogeneity. Based on these ideas, we develop a Heterogeneity-Informed Spatiotemporal Meta-Network (HimNet) for spatiotemporal time series forecasting. Extensive experiments on five widely-used benchmarks demonstrate our method achieves state-of-the-art performance while exhibiting superior interpretability. Our code is available at https://github.com/XDZhelheim/HimNet.

Zheng Dong, Renhe Jiang, Haotian Gao, Hangchen Liu, Jinliang Deng, Qingsong Wen, Xuan Song• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Air Quality PredictionChina-AQI original (test)
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Air Quality PredictionKnowAir original (test)
MAE20.98
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Air Quality PredictionUS-PM original (test)
MAE5.28
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Ramp Flow PredictionXueBu 5min
MAE7.26
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Ramp Flow PredictionXueBu 10min
MAE12.91
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Ramp Flow PredictionDanYangXinQu 3min
MAE6.1
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Ramp Flow PredictionDanYangXinQu 10min
MAE15.72
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Ramp Flow PredictionXueBu 3min
MAE4.94
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Ramp Flow PredictionDanYangXinQu 5min
MAE9.35
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Ramp Flow PredictionQiLin 3min
MAE5.1
4
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