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CoxKAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Interpretable, High-Performance Survival Analysis

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Motivation: Survival analysis is a branch of statistics that is crucial in medicine for modeling the time to critical events such as death or relapse, in order to improve treatment strategies and patient outcomes. Selecting survival models often involves a trade-off between performance and interpretability; deep learning models offer high performance but lack the transparency of more traditional approaches. This poses a significant issue in medicine, where practitioners are reluctant to use black-box models for critical patient decisions. Results: We introduce CoxKAN, a Cox proportional hazards Kolmogorov-Arnold Network for interpretable, high-performance survival analysis. Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) were recently proposed as an interpretable and accurate alternative to multi-layer perceptrons. We evaluated CoxKAN on four synthetic and nine real datasets, including five cohorts with clinical data and four with genomics biomarkers. In synthetic experiments, CoxKAN accurately recovered interpretable hazard function formulae and excelled in automatic feature selection. Evaluations on real datasets showed that CoxKAN consistently outperformed the traditional Cox proportional hazards model (by up to 4% in C-index) and matched or surpassed the performance of deep learning-based models. Importantly, CoxKAN revealed complex interactions between predictor variables and uncovered symbolic formulae, which are key capabilities that other survival analysis methods lack, to provide clear insights into the impact of key biomarkers on patient risk. Availability and implementation: CoxKAN is available at GitHub and Zenodo

William Knottenbelt, William McGough, Rebecca Wray, Woody Zhidong Zhang, Jiashuai Liu, Ines Prata Machado, Zeyu Gao, Mireia Crispin-Ortuzar• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Survival PredictionFLCHAIN
IBS0.1127
26
Survival AnalysisSUPPORT
Time-dependent C-index0.6653
23
Survival AnalysisNWTCO
Time-dependent C-index0.7194
17
Survival AnalysisMETABRIC
D-Calibration Score1
17
Survival AnalysisSUPPORT
IBS0.1837
16
Survival AnalysisGBSG external (test)
C-index0.683
15
Survival AnalysisMETABRIC external (test)
C-index0.65
15
Survival AnalysisRotGBSG
IBS0.1749
12
Survival AnalysisMETABRIC
IBS0.1651
12
Survival AnalysisMIMIC-III
IBS0.1959
12
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