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MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Models

About

We introduce MOMENT, a family of open-source foundation models for general-purpose time series analysis. Pre-training large models on time series data is challenging due to (1) the absence of a large and cohesive public time series repository, and (2) diverse time series characteristics which make multi-dataset training onerous. Additionally, (3) experimental benchmarks to evaluate these models, especially in scenarios with limited resources, time, and supervision, are still in their nascent stages. To address these challenges, we compile a large and diverse collection of public time series, called the Time series Pile, and systematically tackle time series-specific challenges to unlock large-scale multi-dataset pre-training. Finally, we build on recent work to design a benchmark to evaluate time series foundation models on diverse tasks and datasets in limited supervision settings. Experiments on this benchmark demonstrate the effectiveness of our pre-trained models with minimal data and task-specific fine-tuning. Finally, we present several interesting empirical observations about large pre-trained time series models. Pre-trained models (AutonLab/MOMENT-1-large) and Time Series Pile (AutonLab/Timeseries-PILE) are available on Huggingface.

Mononito Goswami, Konrad Szafer, Arjun Choudhry, Yifu Cai, Shuo Li, Artur Dubrawski• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.418
909
Time Series ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.394
869
Time Series ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.274
796
Time Series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.17
552
Long-term time-series forecastingWeather
MSE0.243
527
Long-term forecastingETTh1
MSE0.649
500
Time Series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.255
497
Time Series ForecastingETTh1 (test)
MSE0.392
482
Long-term forecastingETTm1
MSE0.403
452
Time Series ForecastingETTm1 (test)
MSE0.351
427
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