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MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Models

About

We introduce MOMENT, a family of open-source foundation models for general-purpose time series analysis. Pre-training large models on time series data is challenging due to (1) the absence of a large and cohesive public time series repository, and (2) diverse time series characteristics which make multi-dataset training onerous. Additionally, (3) experimental benchmarks to evaluate these models, especially in scenarios with limited resources, time, and supervision, are still in their nascent stages. To address these challenges, we compile a large and diverse collection of public time series, called the Time series Pile, and systematically tackle time series-specific challenges to unlock large-scale multi-dataset pre-training. Finally, we build on recent work to design a benchmark to evaluate time series foundation models on diverse tasks and datasets in limited supervision settings. Experiments on this benchmark demonstrate the effectiveness of our pre-trained models with minimal data and task-specific fine-tuning. Finally, we present several interesting empirical observations about large pre-trained time series models. Pre-trained models (AutonLab/MOMENT-1-large) and Time Series Pile (AutonLab/Timeseries-PILE) are available on Huggingface.

Mononito Goswami, Konrad Szafer, Arjun Choudhry, Yifu Cai, Shuo Li, Artur Dubrawski• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.418
645
Time Series ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.394
601
Time Series ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.392
438
Time Series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.319
382
Long-term time-series forecastingWeather
MSE0.243
348
Time Series ForecastingETTm1
MSE0.697
334
Time Series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.291
223
Anomaly DetectionSMD
F1 Score29.78
217
Long-term forecastingETTm1
MSE0.654
184
Long-term forecastingETTh1
MSE0.688
179
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