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xLSTM-Mixer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Mixing via Scalar Memories

About

Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable predictions. We introduce xLSTM-Mixer, a model designed to effectively integrate temporal sequences, joint time-variate information, and multiple perspectives for robust forecasting. Our approach begins with a linear forecast shared across variates, which is then refined by xLSTM blocks. They serve as key elements for modeling the complex dynamics of challenging time series data. xLSTM-Mixer ultimately reconciles two distinct views to produce the final forecast. Our extensive evaluations demonstrate its superior long-term forecasting performance compared to recent state-of-the-art methods while requiring very little memory. A thorough model analysis provides further insights into its key components and confirms its robustness and effectiveness. This work contributes to the resurgence of recurrent models in forecasting by combining them, for the first time, with mixing architectures.

Maurice Kraus, Felix Divo, Devendra Singh Dhami, Kristian Kersting• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.442
601
Time Series ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.377
438
Time Series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.277
382
Time Series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.254
223
Time Series ForecastingECL
MSE0.174
183
Time Series ForecastingETTm1
MAE0.389
66
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