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MSHyper: Multi-Scale Hypergraph Transformer for Long-Range Time Series Forecasting

About

Demystifying interactions between temporal patterns of different scales is fundamental to precise long-range time series forecasting. However, previous works lack the ability to model high-order interactions. To promote more comprehensive pattern interaction modeling for long-range time series forecasting, we propose a Multi-Scale Hypergraph Transformer (MSHyper) framework. Specifically, a multi-scale hypergraph is introduced to provide foundations for modeling high-order pattern interactions. Then by treating hyperedges as nodes, we also build a hyperedge graph to enhance hypergraph modeling. In addition, a tri-stage message passing mechanism is introduced to aggregate pattern information and learn the interaction strength between temporal patterns of different scales. Extensive experiments on five real-world datasets demonstrate that MSHyper achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance across various settings.

Zongjiang Shang, Ling Chen, Binqing Wu, Dongliang Cui• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.696
645
Time Series ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.557
601
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm1
MSE0.468
433
Multivariate long-term forecastingETTh1
MSE0.454
344
Multivariate ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.541
341
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.446
334
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTh2
MSE0.383
319
Multivariate long-term series forecastingWeather
MSE0.17
288
Long-term time-series forecastingTraffic
MSE0.428
278
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTm1
MSE0.407
257
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