Share your thoughts, 1 month free Claude Pro on usSee more
WorkDL logo mark

FlowMixer: A Depth-Agnostic Neural Architecture for Interpretable Spatiotemporal Forecasting

About

We introduce FlowMixer, a single-layer neural architecture that leverages constrained matrix operations to model structured spatiotemporal patterns with enhanced interpretability. FlowMixer incorporates non-negative matrix mixing layers within a reversible mapping framework - applying transforms before mixing and their inverses afterward. This shape-preserving design enables a Kronecker-Koopman eigenmodes framework that bridges statistical learning with dynamical systems theory, providing interpretable spatiotemporal patterns and facilitating direct algebraic manipulation of prediction horizons without retraining. The architecture's semi-group property enables this single layer to mathematically represent any depth through composition, eliminating depth search entirely. Extensive experiments across diverse domains demonstrate FlowMixer's long-horizon forecasting capabilities while effectively modeling physical phenomena such as chaotic attractors and turbulent flows. Our results achieve performance matching state-of-the-art methods while offering superior interpretability through directly extractable eigenmodes. This work suggests that architectural constraints can simultaneously maintain competitive performance and enhance mathematical interpretability in neural forecasting systems.

Fares B. Mehouachi, Saif Eddin Jabari• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.264
796
Time Series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.143
497
Long-term time-series forecastingETTh1 (test)
MSE0.358
410
Time Series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.159
300
Time Series ForecastingElectricity
MSE0.131
237
Long-term time-series forecastingWeather (test)
MSE0.143
223
Long-term time-series forecastingETTh2 (test)
MSE0.264
216
Long-term time-series forecastingETTm1 (test)
MSE0.298
199
Long-term time-series forecastingTraffic (test)
MSE0.377
182
Long-term time-series forecastingETTm2 (test)
MSE0.159
134
Showing 10 of 18 rows

Other info

Follow for update