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TS-Reasoner: Domain-Oriented Time Series Inference Agents for Reasoning and Automated Analysis

About

Time series analysis is crucial in real-world applications, yet traditional methods focus on isolated tasks only, and recent studies on time series reasoning remain limited to either single-step inference or are constrained to natural language answers. In this work, we introduce TS-Reasoner, a domain-specialized agent designed for multi-step time series inference. By integrating large language model (LLM) reasoning with domain-specific computational tools and an error feedback loop, TS-Reasoner enables domain-informed, constraint-aware analytical workflows that combine symbolic reasoning with precise numerical analysis. We assess the system's capabilities along two axes: (1) fundamental time series understanding assessed by TimeSeriesExam and (2) complex, multi-step inference evaluated by a newly proposed dataset designed to test both compositional reasoning and computational precision in time series analysis. Experiments show that our approach outperforms standalone general-purpose LLMs in both basic time series concept understanding as well as the multi-step time series inference task, highlighting the promise of domain-specialized agents for automating real-world time series reasoning and analysis.

Wen Ye, Wei Yang, Defu Cao, Yizhou Zhang, Lumingyuan Tang, Jie Cai, Yan Liu• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Context-guided time series forecastingPTF
MAE0.3336
45
Multi-Step Time Series PredictionEnergy Data w/ Covariates
Success Rate100
15
Time Series UnderstandingTSExam
Pattern Recognition65
10
Causal DiscoveryCausal Known Prior
Success Rate (SR)100
5
Multi-Step Time Series PredictionMultiple Grids Data
Success Rate95
5
Stock Price Future Volatility PredictionStock Future Volatility
Sharpe Ratio (SR)0.98
5
Multi-Step Time Series PredictionEnergy Data
Success Rate92.5
5
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