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Historically Relevant Event Structuring for Temporal Knowledge Graph Reasoning

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Temporal Knowledge Graph (TKG) reasoning focuses on predicting events through historical information within snapshots distributed on a timeline. Existing studies mainly concentrate on two perspectives of leveraging the history of TKGs, including capturing evolution of each recent snapshot or correlations among global historical facts. Despite the achieved significant accomplishments, these models still fall short of I) investigating the impact of multi-granular interactions across recent snapshots, and II) harnessing the expressive semantics of significant links accorded with queries throughout the entire history, particularly events exerting a profound impact on the future. These inadequacies restrict representation ability to reflect historical dependencies and future trends thoroughly. To overcome these drawbacks, we propose an innovative TKG reasoning approach towards \textbf{His}torically \textbf{R}elevant \textbf{E}vents \textbf{S}tructuring (HisRES). Concretely, HisRES comprises two distinctive modules excelling in structuring historically relevant events within TKGs, including a multi-granularity evolutionary encoder that captures structural and temporal dependencies of the most recent snapshots, and a global relevance encoder that concentrates on crucial correlations among events relevant to queries from the entire history. Furthermore, HisRES incorporates a self-gating mechanism for adaptively merging multi-granularity recent and historically relevant structuring representations. Extensive experiments on four event-based benchmarks demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of HisRES and indicate the superiority and effectiveness of structuring historical relevance for TKG reasoning.

Jinchuan Zhang, Ming Sun, Chong Mu, Jinhao Zhang, Quanjiang Guo, Ling Tian• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Temporal Knowledge Graph Extrapolation ReasoningGDELT
MRR25.6
50
Temporal Knowledge Graph ForecastingICEWS 18
MRR0.363
47
Temporal Knowledge Graph extrapolationICEWS 05-15
MRR0.587
27
Temporal Knowledge Graph extrapolationICEWS 14
MRR0.495
27
Temporal Knowledge Graph Entity ExtrapolationICEWS14s (test)
Hits@139.57
17
Temporal Knowledge Graph Entity ExtrapolationICEWS 18 short (test)
Hits@126.46
17
Temporal Knowledge Graph Entity ExtrapolationICEWS long-term 05-15 (test)
MRR59.07
17
Inductive Temporal Knowledge Graph Link PredictionICEWS 14 (5:2:3 chronological split)
Hits@30.1107
17
Inductive Temporal Knowledge Graph Link PredictionICEWS 05-15 (5:2:3 chronological split)
Hits@313.32
17
Inductive Temporal Knowledge Graph Link PredictionGDELT (5:2:3 chronological split)
Hits@30.0737
17
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