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From Tables to Time: Extending TabPFN-v2 to Time Series Forecasting

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Recent progress in foundation models has enabled strong zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. In this work, we show that such capabilities can also emerge from tabular foundation models. We introduce TabPFN-TS, a simple method that treats forecasting as a tabular regression problem by combining lightweight temporal featurization with the pretrained TabPFN-v2. This formulation requires no time-series-specific pretraining and naturally supports both univariate and covariate-informed forecasting. Despite its compact size (11M parameters), TabPFN-TS achieves state-of-the-art performance on covariate-informed forecasting and competitive accuracy on univariate forecasting across the GIFT-Eval and fev-bench benchmarks. We further provide controlled analyses examining how the model interprets temporal structure, how featurization choices affect accuracy, and how forecasts change under alternative tabular backbones. Together, our results demonstrate that tabular foundation models--when paired with suitable temporal features--offer an efficient and versatile alternative for forecasting, bridging tabular and time-series learning within a unified framework. Code is available at https://github.com/PriorLabs/tabpfn-time-series.

Shi Bin Hoo, Samuel M\"uller, David Salinas, Frank Hutter• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series Forecasting27 real-world application datasets (test)
SQL0.4663
36
Time Series ForecastingGIFT-Eval bizitobs-application-60
MASE0.031
27
ForecastingTime-MMD Overall Average
Average Error0.801
21
ForecastingRetail
MAE0.729
20
ForecastingPDB
MAE0.282
20
ForecastingSpain
MAE0.384
20
Forecastingbull
MAE0.874
20
ForecastingEPF
MAE0.541
20
ForecastingGFC 17
MAE0.341
20
ForecastingGFC 12
MAE0.585
20
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