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LLM-Mixer: Multiscale Mixing in LLMs for Time Series Forecasting

About

Time series forecasting remains a challenging task, particularly in the context of complex multiscale temporal patterns. This study presents LLM-Mixer, a framework that improves forecasting accuracy through the combination of multiscale time-series decomposition with pre-trained LLMs (Large Language Models). LLM-Mixer captures both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends by decomposing the data into multiple temporal resolutions and processing them with a frozen LLM, guided by a textual prompt specifically designed for time-series data. Extensive experiments conducted on multivariate and univariate datasets demonstrate that LLM-Mixer achieves competitive performance, outperforming recent state-of-the-art models across various forecasting horizons. This work highlights the potential of combining multiscale analysis and LLMs for effective and scalable time-series forecasting.

Md Kowsher, Md. Shohanur Islam Sobuj, Nusrat Jahan Prottasha, E. Alejandro Alanis, Ozlem Ozmen Garibay, Niloofar Yousefi• 2024

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Anomaly DetectionKR
V-ROC Score65.77
38
Time Series Anomaly DetectionPUMP
F1-score8.1
28
Anomaly DetectionEnvironment
A-R (AUC-ROC)92.99
20
Anomaly DetectionWeather
A-R (AUC-ROC)79.6
20
Anomaly DetectionEnvironment
Accuracy89.97
20
Anomaly DetectionEnergy
A-R (AUC-ROC)61.31
20
Anomaly DetectionWeather
Accuracy65.76
20
Anomaly DetectionMDT
Accuracy65.57
20
Anomaly DetectionEnergy
Accuracy45.23
20
Anomaly DetectionEWJ
Accuracy71.43
20
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