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Mapping 1,000+ Language Models via the Log-Likelihood Vector

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To compare autoregressive language models at scale, we propose using log-likelihood vectors computed on a predefined text set as model features. This approach has a solid theoretical basis: when treated as model coordinates, their squared Euclidean distance approximates the Kullback-Leibler divergence of text-generation probabilities. Our method is highly scalable, with computational cost growing linearly in both the number of models and text samples, and is easy to implement as the required features are derived from cross-entropy loss. Applying this method to over 1,000 language models, we constructed a "model map," providing a new perspective on large-scale model analysis.

Momose Oyama, Hiroaki Yamagiwa, Yusuke Takase, Hidetoshi Shimodaira• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Ranking correlation with full dataset evaluationWinoGrande
Kendall Correlation0.538
13
Model Relation PredictionModel Relation Prediction Dataset 135 pairs
Accuracy72.1
5
Benchmark Ranking PredictionARC
Kendall's Tau0.585
3
Benchmark Ranking PredictionHellaSwag
Kendall's Tau0.618
3
Benchmark Ranking PredictionTruthfulQA
Kendall's Tau Correlation0.476
3
Benchmark Ranking PredictionMMLU
Kendall's Tau Correlation0.484
3
Benchmark Ranking PredictionGSM8K
Kendall's Tau Correlation0.392
3
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