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Sparse Autoencoders for Hypothesis Generation

About

We describe HypotheSAEs, a general method to hypothesize interpretable relationships between text data (e.g., headlines) and a target variable (e.g., clicks). HypotheSAEs has three steps: (1) train a sparse autoencoder on text embeddings to produce interpretable features describing the data distribution, (2) select features that predict the target variable, and (3) generate a natural language interpretation of each feature (e.g., "mentions being surprised or shocked") using an LLM. Each interpretation serves as a hypothesis about what predicts the target variable. Compared to baselines, our method better identifies reference hypotheses on synthetic datasets (at least +0.06 in F1) and produces more predictive hypotheses on real datasets (~twice as many significant findings), despite requiring 1-2 orders of magnitude less compute than recent LLM-based methods. HypotheSAEs also produces novel discoveries on two well-studied tasks: explaining partisan differences in Congressional speeches and identifying drivers of engagement with online headlines.

Rajiv Movva, Kenny Peng, Nikhil Garg, Jon Kleinberg, Emma Pierson• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Conditional Hypothesis GenerationSynthetic U.S. Congress bill summaries Stratum Imbalance r=0.50 (held-out set)
Surface Similarity55.7
9
Conditional Hypothesis GenerationSynthetic bill summaries Sign reversal, |H|=5
Surface Similarity48.4
9
Conditional Hypothesis GenerationSynthetic U.S. Congress bill summaries Stratum Imbalance r=0.20 (held-out set)
Surface Similarity39.3
9
Conditional Hypothesis GenerationSynthetic U.S. Congress bill summaries Stratum Imbalance r=0.35 (held-out set)
Surface Similarity0.397
9
Signal RecoverySynthetic dataset
SURF Score90
5
Conditional Hypothesis GenerationCongress
Helpfulness2.75
4
Hypothesis DiscoveryHypoBench
Deception Score8
3
Hypothesis DiscoveryTwitter
Significant Hypotheses Count12
3
Hypothesis DiscoveryDesign
Significant Hypotheses Found6
3
Hypothesis DiscoveryCongress
Significant Hypotheses Found12
3
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