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Density Ratio Estimation with Conditional Probability Paths

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Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on samples from the two densities. However, existing methods for this problem remain computationally expensive and can yield inaccurate estimates. Inspired by recent advances in generative modeling, we introduce a novel framework for time score estimation, based on a conditioning variable. Choosing the conditioning variable judiciously enables a closed-form objective function. We demonstrate that, compared to previous approaches, our approach results in faster learning of the time score and competitive or better estimation accuracies of the density ratio on challenging tasks. Furthermore, we establish theoretical guarantees on the error of the estimated density ratio.

Hanlin Yu, Arto Klami, Aapo Hyv\"arinen, Anna Korba, Omar Chehab• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Density EstimationMNIST (test)
NLL (bits/dim)1.03
69
Density EstimationMNIST mixture 784 dim (test)
MSE3
11
Mutual Information EstimationStructured Gaussians d=320
MAE2.15
6
Mutual Information EstimationStructured Gaussians d=40
MAE0.09
6
Mutual Information EstimationStructured Gaussians d=80
MAE0.23
6
Mutual Information EstimationStructured Gaussians d=20
MAE0.06
6
Mutual Information EstimationStructured Gaussians d=160
MAE0.87
6
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