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HGTS-Former: Hierarchical HyperGraph Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Analysis

About

Multivariate time series analysis has long been one of the key research topics in the field of artificial intelligence. However, analyzing complex time series data remains a challenging and unresolved problem due to its high dimensionality, dynamic nature, and complex interactions among variables. Inspired by the strong structural modeling capability of hypergraphs, this paper proposes a novel hypergraph-based time series Transformer backbone network, termed HGTS-Former, to address the multivariate coupling in time series data. Specifically, given the multivariate time series signal, we first normalize and embed each patch into tokens. Then, we adopt the multi-head self-attention to enhance the temporal representation of each patch. The hierarchical hypergraphs are constructed to aggregate the temporal patterns within each channel and fine-grained relations between different variables. After that, we convert the hyperedge into node features through the EdgeToNode module and adopt the feed-forward network to further enhance the output features. Extensive experiments on multiple representative time series analysis tasks and public datasets fully validated the effectiveness of our proposed HGTS-Former. Moreover, we present EAST-ELM640, a large-scale time series dataset for Edge-Localized Mode (ELM) recognition in nuclear fusion, on which we achieve state-of-the-art performance. The source code will be released on https://github.com/Event-AHU/Time_Series_Analysis

Hao Si, Xiao Wang, Fan Zhang, Xiaoya Zhou, Dengdi Sun, Wanli Lyu, Qingquan Yang, Jin Tang• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.375
830
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm1
MSE0.353
686
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.267
539
Anomaly DetectionSMD
F1 Score87.54
375
Multivariate ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.347
359
Time Series ImputationETTh1
MSE0.085
162
Time Series ImputationETTm1
MSE0.04
159
Anomaly DetectionPSM
F1 Score97.13
157
Time Series ImputationWeather
MAE0.091
155
Multivariate ForecastingTraffic
MSE0.379
141
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