Share your thoughts, 1 month free Claude Pro on usSee more
WorkDL logo mark

Structured Agentic Workflows for Financial Time-Series Modeling with LLMs and Reflective Feedback

About

Time-series data is central to decision-making in financial markets, yet building high-performing, interpretable, and auditable models remains a major challenge. While Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks streamline model development, they often lack adaptability and responsiveness to domain-specific needs and evolving objectives. Concurrently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled agentic systems capable of reasoning, memory management, and dynamic code generation, offering a path toward more flexible workflow automation. In this paper, we introduce \textsf{TS-Agent}, a modular agentic framework designed to automate and enhance time-series modeling workflows for financial applications. The agent formalizes the pipeline as a structured, iterative decision process across three stages: model selection, code refinement, and fine-tuning, guided by contextual reasoning and experimental feedback. Central to our architecture is a planner agent equipped with structured knowledge banks, curated libraries of models and refinement strategies, which guide exploration, while improving interpretability and reducing error propagation. \textsf{TS-Agent} supports adaptive learning, robust debugging, and transparent auditing, key requirements for high-stakes environments such as financial services. Empirical evaluations on diverse financial forecasting and synthetic data generation tasks demonstrate that \textsf{TS-Agent} consistently outperforms state-of-the-art AutoML and agentic baselines, achieving superior accuracy, robustness, and decision traceability.

Yihao Ang, Yifan Bao, Lei Jiang, Jiajie Tao, Anthony K. H. Tung, Lukasz Szpruch, Hao Ni• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ForecastingStock
MAE4.905
45
Financial Strategy GenerationCrypto
∆VaR0.015
34
Time Series ForecastingLOB
RMSE0.143
17
System-level data generationStock
Marginal Fidelity0.681
17
System-level data generationLOB
Marginal1.18
17
Time Series ForecastingCrypto
RMSE0.218
17
Showing 6 of 6 rows

Other info

Follow for update