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Towards Robust Real-World Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: A Unified Framework for Dependency, Asynchrony, and Missingness

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Real-world time series data are inherently multivariate, often exhibiting complex inter-channel dependencies. Each channel is typically sampled at its own period and is prone to missing values due to various practical and operational constraints. These characteristics pose three fundamental challenges involving channel dependency, sampling asynchrony, and missingness, all of which must be addressed simultaneously to enable robust and reliable forecasting in practical settings. However, existing architectures typically address only parts of these challenges in isolation and still rely on simplifying assumptions, leaving unresolved the combined challenges of asynchronous channel sampling, test-time missing blocks, and intricate inter-channel dependencies. To bridge this gap, we propose ChannelTokenFormer, a Transformer-based forecasting framework with a flexible architecture designed to explicitly capture cross-channel interactions, accommodate channel-wise asynchronous sampling, and effectively handle missing values. Extensive experiments on public benchmark datasets reflecting practical settings, along with one private real-world industrial dataset, demonstrate the superior robustness and accuracy of ChannelTokenFormer under challenging real-world conditions.

Jinkwan Jang, Hyungjin Park, Jinmyeong Choi, Taesup Kim• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
ForecastingETT1 (test)
CMSE0.415
50
Time Series ForecastingSolarWind block-wise test-time missingness (test)
CMSE0.336
21
channel-wise asynchronous long-term multivariate forecastingETT1
CMSE0.335
18
channel-wise asynchronous long-term multivariate forecastingCHS
CMSE0.103
16
Long-term time-series forecastingETTh1 conventional (test)
CMSE0.371
16
Channel-wise Asynchronous ForecastingSolarWind m=0.125 Case 2 (test)
CMSE0.409
13
Channel-wise Asynchronous ForecastingSolarWind m=0.250 Case 2 (test)
CMSE0.429
13
Channel-wise Asynchronous ForecastingSolarWind m=0.375 Case 2 (test)
CMSE0.452
13
Channel-wise Asynchronous ForecastingSolarWind m=0.500 Case 2 (test)
CMSE0.475
13
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETT1
CMSE0.399
12
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