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Semantic-Enhanced Time-Series Forecasting via Large Language Models

About

Time series forecasting plays a significant role in finance, energy, meteorology, and IoT applications. Recent studies have leveraged the generalization capabilities of large language models (LLMs) to adapt to time series forecasting, achieving promising performance. However, existing studies focus on token-level modal alignment, instead of bridging the intrinsic modality gap between linguistic knowledge structures and time series data patterns, greatly limiting the semantic representation. To address this issue, we propose a novel Semantic-Enhanced LLM (SE-LLM) that explores the inherent periodicity and anomalous characteristics of time series to embed into the semantic space to enhance the token embedding. This process enhances the interpretability of tokens for LLMs, thereby activating the potential of LLMs for temporal sequence analysis. Moreover, existing Transformer-based LLMs excel at capturing long-range dependencies but are weak at modeling short-term anomalies in time-series data. Hence, we propose a plugin module embedded within self-attention that models long-term and short-term dependencies to effectively adapt LLMs to time-series analysis. Our approach freezes the LLM and reduces the sequence dimensionality of tokens, greatly reducing computational consumption. Experiments demonstrate the superiority performance of our SE-LLM against the state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods.

Hao Liu, Xiaoxing Zhang, Chun Yang, Xiaobin Zhu• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Long-term time-series forecastingWeather
MSE0.229
448
Long-term time-series forecastingETTh1
MAE0.415
446
Long-term time-series forecastingTraffic
MSE0.386
362
Long-term time-series forecastingECL
MSE0.161
154
Short-term Time Series ForecastingM4 Average
SMAPE11.778
53
Long-term forecastingsolar
MSE0.192
45
Time Series ForecastingM3 (test)
SMAPE12.56
28
Time Series ForecastingM3 -> M4 (test)
sMAPE13.024
9
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