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FlowPath: Learning Data-Driven Manifolds with Invertible Flows for Robust Irregularly-sampled Time Series Classification

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Modeling continuous-time dynamics from sparse and irregularly-sampled time series remains a fundamental challenge. Neural controlled differential equations provide a principled framework for such tasks, yet their performance is highly sensitive to the choice of control path constructed from discrete observations. Existing methods commonly employ fixed interpolation schemes, which impose simplistic geometric assumptions that often misrepresent the underlying data manifold, particularly under high missingness. We propose FlowPath, a novel approach that learns the geometry of the control path via an invertible neural flow. Rather than merely connecting observations, FlowPath constructs a continuous and data-adaptive manifold, guided by invertibility constraints that enforce information-preserving and well-behaved transformations. This inductive bias distinguishes FlowPath from prior unconstrained learnable path models. Empirical evaluations on 18 benchmark datasets and a real-world case study demonstrate that FlowPath consistently achieves statistically significant improvements in classification accuracy over baselines using fixed interpolants or non-invertible architectures. These results highlight the importance of modeling not only the dynamics along the path but also the geometry of the path itself, offering a robust and generalizable solution for learning from irregular time series.

YongKyung Oh, Dong-Young Lim, Sungil Kim• 2025

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
ClassificationPAMAP2 original and sensor dropout
Accuracy94.8
48
ClassificationPAMAP2
F1 Score95.6
48
Multivariate Time Series ClassificationUEA 30% missing rate (test)
Accuracy74.3
39
Time-series classification18 UEA datasets Regular
Accuracy73.1
38
Time-series classificationUEA 18 datasets 70% Missing
Accuracy0.718
34
Time-series classification18-datasets benchmark suite 30% Missing
Accuracy74.3
20
Time-series classification18-datasets benchmark suite 50% Missing
Accuracy72.6
20
Time-series classification18-datasets benchmark suite 70% Missing
Accuracy71.8
20
Time-series classification18-datasets benchmark suite Average
Accuracy73
20
ClassificationPhysioNet Sepsis 2020 (test)
AUROC (With OI)0.919
17
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