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ACFormer: Mitigating Non-linearity with Auto Convolutional Encoder for Time Series Forecasting

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Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global trends, these models often struggle with non-linear signals. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic receptive field analysis of convolutional neural network (CNN) TSF models. We introduce the "individual receptive field" to uncover granular structural dependencies, revealing that convolutional layers act as feature extractors that mirror channel-wise attention while exhibiting superior robustness to non-linear fluctuations. Based on these insights, we propose ACFormer, an architecture designed to reconcile the efficiency of linear projections with the non-linear feature-extraction power of convolutions. ACFormer captures fine-grained information through a shared compression module, preserves temporal locality via gated attention, and reconstructs variable-specific temporal patterns using an independent patch expansion layer. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that ACFormer consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance, effectively mitigating the inherent drawbacks of linear models in capturing high-frequency components.

Gawon Lee, Hanbyeol Park, Minseop Kim, Dohee Kim, Hyerim Bae• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Multivariate ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.181
341
Multivariate long-term series forecastingWeather (test)
MSE0.238
269
Multivariate long-term series forecastingTraffic (test)
MSE0.468
219
Multivariate long-term series forecastingETTm2 (test)
MSE0.273
150
Multivariate long-term forecastingETTm1 (test)
MSE0.378
134
Multivariate time series predictionPeMS03
MSE0.117
111
Multivariate long-term forecastingETTh1 (test)
MSE0.447
77
Multivariate long-term forecastingETTh2 (test)
MSE0.365
76
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingPeMS04
MSE0.114
74
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingPeMS08
MSE0.141
30
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