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Multi-Modal Time Series Prediction via Mixture of Modulated Experts

About

Real-world time series exhibit complex and evolving dynamics, making accurate forecasting extremely challenging. Recent multi-modal forecasting methods leverage textual information such as news reports to improve prediction, but most rely on token-level fusion that mixes temporal patches with language tokens in a shared embedding space. However, such fusion can be ill-suited when high-quality time-text pairs are scarce and when time series exhibit substantial variation in scale and characteristics, thus complicating cross-modal alignment. In parallel, Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures have proven effective for both time series modeling and multi-modal learning, yet many existing MoE-based modality integration methods still depend on token-level fusion. To address this, we propose Expert Modulation, a new paradigm for multi-modal time series prediction that conditions both routing and expert computation on textual signals, enabling direct and efficient cross-modal control over expert behavior. Through comprehensive theoretical analysis and experiments, our proposed method demonstrates substantial improvements in multi-modal time series prediction. The current code is available at https://github.com/BruceZhangReve/MoME

Lige Zhang, Ali Maatouk, Jialin Chen, Leandros Tassiulas, Rex Ying• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ForecastingMTBench Finance (Long)
MAPE3.531
10
Time Series ForecastingMTBench Weather Short
MSE10.02
10
Time Series ForecastingMTBench Weather Long
MSE11.823
10
Time Series ForecastingTimeMMD Environment
MAPE15.434
10
Time Series ForecastingTimeMMD Health (US)
MSE0.379
10
Time Series ForecastingTimeMMD Health (AFR)
MSE0.103
10
Time Series ForecastingTimeMMD Social Good
MSE1.419
10
Trend PredictionMTBench Finance Short
3-way Score66.849
10
Trend PredictionMTBench Finance (Long)
3-way Accuracy62.671
10
Trend PredictionMTBench Weather Long
Past Accuracy93.496
10
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