Multi-Modal Time Series Prediction via Mixture of Modulated Experts
About
Real-world time series exhibit complex and evolving dynamics, making accurate forecasting extremely challenging. Recent multi-modal forecasting methods leverage textual information such as news reports to improve prediction, but most rely on token-level fusion that mixes temporal patches with language tokens in a shared embedding space. However, such fusion can be ill-suited when high-quality time-text pairs are scarce and when time series exhibit substantial variation in scale and characteristics, thus complicating cross-modal alignment. In parallel, Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures have proven effective for both time series modeling and multi-modal learning, yet many existing MoE-based modality integration methods still depend on token-level fusion. To address this, we propose Expert Modulation, a new paradigm for multi-modal time series prediction that conditions both routing and expert computation on textual signals, enabling direct and efficient cross-modal control over expert behavior. Through comprehensive theoretical analysis and experiments, our proposed method demonstrates substantial improvements in multi-modal time series prediction. The current code is available at https://github.com/BruceZhangReve/MoME
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time Series Forecasting | MTBench Finance (Long) | MAPE3.531 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | MTBench Weather Short | MSE10.02 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | MTBench Weather Long | MSE11.823 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | TimeMMD Environment | MAPE15.434 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | TimeMMD Health (US) | MSE0.379 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | TimeMMD Health (AFR) | MSE0.103 | 10 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | TimeMMD Social Good | MSE1.419 | 10 | |
| Trend Prediction | MTBench Finance Short | 3-way Score66.849 | 10 | |
| Trend Prediction | MTBench Finance (Long) | 3-way Accuracy62.671 | 10 | |
| Trend Prediction | MTBench Weather Long | Past Accuracy93.496 | 10 |