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Nansde-net: A neural sde framework for generating time series with memory

About

Modeling time series with long- or short-memory characteristics is a fundamental challenge in many scientific and engineering domains. While fractional Brownian motion has been widely used as a noise source to capture such memory effects, its incompatibility with It\^o calculus limits its applicability in neural stochastic differential equation~(SDE) frameworks. In this paper, we propose a novel class of noise, termed Neural Network-kernel ARMA-type noise~(NA-noise), which is an It\^o-process-based alternative capable of capturing both long- and short-memory behaviors. The kernel function defining the noise structure is parameterized via neural networks and decomposed into a product form to preserve the Markov property. Based on this noise process, we develop NANSDE-Net, a generative model that extends Neural SDEs by incorporating NA-noise. We prove the theoretical existence and uniqueness of the solution under mild conditions and derive an efficient backpropagation scheme for training. Empirical results on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that NANSDE-Net matches or outperforms existing models, including fractional SDE-Net, in reproducing long- and short-memory features of the data, while maintaining computational tractability within the It\^o calculus framework.

Hiromu Ozai, Kei Nakagawa• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time-series generationfBm H=0.2
ACF1.276
4
Time-series generationSPX
ACF2.804
4
Time-series generationSX5E
ACF3.018
4
Time-series generationNileMin
ACF2.938
4
Time-series generationNhemiTemp
ACF4.804
4
Time-series generationfBm H=0.3
ACF1.995
4
Time-series generationethernetTraffic
ACF3.224
4
Time-series generationTPX
ACF Deviation2.018
4
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