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MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets

About

LLMs have demonstrated significant potential in quantitative finance by processing vast unstructured data to emulate human-like analytical workflows. However, current LLM-based methods primarily follow either an Asset-Centric paradigm focused on individual stock prediction or a Market-Centric approach for portfolio allocation, often remaining agnostic to the underlying reasoning that drives market movements. In this paper, we propose a Logic-Oriented perspective, modeling the financial market as a dynamic, evolutionary ecosystem of competing investment narratives, termed Modes of Thought. To operationalize this view, we introduce MEME (Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets), designed to reconstruct market dynamics through the lens of evolving logics. MEME employs a multi-agent extraction module to transform noisy data into high-fidelity Investment Arguments and utilizes Gaussian Mixture Modeling to uncover latent consensus within a semantic space. To model semantic drift among different market conditions, we also implement a temporal evaluation and alignment mechanism to track the lifecycle and historical profitability of these modes. By prioritizing enduring market wisdom over transient anomalies, MEME ensures that portfolio construction is guided by robust reasoning. Extensive experiments on three heterogeneous Chinese stock pools from 2023 to 2025 demonstrate that MEME consistently outperforms seven SOTA baselines. Further ablation studies, sensitivity analysis, lifecycle case study and cost analysis validate MEME's capacity to identify and adapt to the evolving consensus of financial markets. Our implementation can be found at https://github.com/gta0804/MEME.

Taian Guo, Haiyang Shen, Junyu Luo, Zhongshi Xing, Hanchun Lian, Jinsheng Huang, Binqi Chen, Luchen Liu, Yun Ma, Ming Zhang• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Stock PredictionSSE 50 latest (2025 Q4)
AR (Annualized Return)8.25
9
Stock PredictionCSI 300 latest (2025 Q4)
Average Return (AR)9.77
9
Stock PredictionCSI 500 latest (2025 Q4)
AR20.56
9
Stock Prediction and Portfolio ManagementSSE 50 (2023 Q4 to 2025 Q3)
AR (%)28.74
9
Stock Prediction and Portfolio ManagementCSI 300 (2023 Q4 to 2025 Q3)
AR (Annualized Return)32.48
9
Stock Prediction and Portfolio ManagementCSI 500 (2023 Q4 to 2025 Q3)
Annualized Return (AR)31.97
9
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