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Fed-GAME: Personalized Federated Learning with Graph Attention Mixture-of-Experts For Time-Series Forecasting

About

Federated learning (FL) on graphs shows promise for distributed time-series forecasting. Yet, existing methods rely on static topologies and struggle with client heterogeneity. We propose Fed-GAME, a framework that models personalized aggregation as message passing over a learnable dynamic implicit graph. The core is a decoupled parameter difference-based update protocol, where clients transmit parameter differences between their fine-tuned private model and a shared global model. On the server, these differences are decomposed into two streams: (1) averaged difference used to updating the global model for consensus (2) the selective difference fed into a novel Graph Attention Mixture-of-Experts (GAME) aggregator for fine-grained personalization. In this aggregator, shared experts provide scoring signals while personalized gates adaptively weight selective updates to support personalized aggregation. Experiments on two real-world electric vehicle charging datasets demonstrate that Fed-GAME outperforms state-of-the-art personalized FL baselines.

Yi Li, Han Liu, Mingfeng Fan, Guo Chen, Chaojie Li, Biplab Sikdar• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Probabilistic ForecastingShenzhen (Step 6)
QS8.5461
20
Probabilistic ForecastingPalo Alto (Step 6)
QS1.4067
7
Probabilistic ForecastingPalo Alto (Step 12)
QS1.627
7
Probabilistic ForecastingShenzhen (Step 12)
QS10.5097
7
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