Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting
About
Standard direct forecasting models typically rely on point-wise objectives such as Mean Squared Error, which fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies inherent in graph-structured signals. While recent frequency-domain approaches such as FreDF mitigate temporal autocorrelation, they often overlook spatial and cross spatio-temporal interactions. To address this limitation, we propose FreST Loss, a frequency-enhanced spatio-temporal training objective that extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum. By leveraging the Joint Fourier Transform (JFT), FreST Loss aligns model predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time. Theoretical analysis shows that this formulation reduces estimation bias associated with time-domain training objectives. Extensive experiments on six real-world datasets demonstrate that FreST Loss is model-agnostic and consistently improves state-of-the-art baselines by better capturing holistic spatio-temporal dynamics.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traffic Forecasting | METR-LA | MAE0.408 | 183 | |
| Spatial-temporal Time Series Forecasting | PeMS08 | MAE20.502 | 22 | |
| Spatio-temporal forecasting | NYC-Bike | MAE1.111 | 16 | |
| Spatio-temporal forecasting | AIR-BJ | MAE0.207 | 16 | |
| Spatio-temporal forecasting | AIR-GZ | MAE0.251 | 16 | |
| Spatio-temporal forecasting | SH-METRO | MAE63.655 | 16 |