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Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting

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Standard direct forecasting models typically rely on point-wise objectives such as Mean Squared Error, which fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies inherent in graph-structured signals. While recent frequency-domain approaches such as FreDF mitigate temporal autocorrelation, they often overlook spatial and cross spatio-temporal interactions. To address this limitation, we propose FreST Loss, a frequency-enhanced spatio-temporal training objective that extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum. By leveraging the Joint Fourier Transform (JFT), FreST Loss aligns model predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time. Theoretical analysis shows that this formulation reduces estimation bias associated with time-domain training objectives. Extensive experiments on six real-world datasets demonstrate that FreST Loss is model-agnostic and consistently improves state-of-the-art baselines by better capturing holistic spatio-temporal dynamics.

Zepu Wang, Bowen Liao, Jeff (Xuegang) Ban• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Traffic ForecastingMETR-LA
MAE0.408
183
Spatial-temporal Time Series ForecastingPeMS08
MAE20.502
22
Spatio-temporal forecastingNYC-Bike
MAE1.111
16
Spatio-temporal forecastingAIR-BJ
MAE0.207
16
Spatio-temporal forecastingAIR-GZ
MAE0.251
16
Spatio-temporal forecastingSH-METRO
MAE63.655
16
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