Share your thoughts, 1 month free Claude Pro on usSee more
WorkDL logo mark

Aura: Universal Multi-dimensional Exogenous Integration for Aviation Time Series

About

Time series forecasting has witnessed an increasing demand across diverse industrial applications, where accurate predictions are pivotal for informed decision-making. Beyond numerical time series data, reliable forecasting in practical scenarios requires integrating diverse exogenous factors. Such exogenous information is often multi-dimensional or even multimodal, introducing heterogeneous interactions that unimodal time series models struggle to capture. In this paper, we delve into an aviation maintenance scenario and identify three distinct types of exogenous factors that influence temporal dynamics through distinct interaction modes. Based on this empirical insight, we propose Aura, a universal framework that explicitly organizes and encodes heterogeneous external information according to its interaction mode with the target time series. Specifically, Aura utilizes a tailored tripartite encoding mechanism to embed heterogeneous features into well-established time series models, ensuring seamless integration of non-sequential context. Extensive experiments on a large-scale, three-year industrial dataset from China Southern Airlines, covering the Boeing 777 and Airbus A320 fleets, demonstrate that Aura consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance across all baselines and exhibits superior adaptability. Our findings highlight Aura's potential as a general-purpose enhancement for aviation safety and reliability.

Jiafeng Lin, Mengren Zheng, Simeng Ye, Yuxuan Wang, Huan Zhang, Yuhui Liu, Zhongyi Pei, Jianmin Wang• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Short-term forecastingEPF BE
MSE0.346
33
Short-term forecastingEPF PJM
MSE0.266
33
Anomaly DetectionChina Southern Airlines Boeing 777 Left
TAR62.5
14
Anomaly DetectionChina Southern Airlines Boeing 777 Right
TAR62.5
14
Anomaly DetectionChina Southern Airlines Airbus A320 Left
TAR34.5
14
Anomaly DetectionChina Southern Airlines Airbus A320 Right
TAR41.4
14
Time Series ForecastingChina Southern Airlines Boeing 777 Left
MSE0.075
14
Time Series ForecastingChina Southern Airlines Boeing 777 Right
MSE0.086
14
Time Series ForecastingChina Southern Airlines Airbus A320 Left
MSE0.048
14
Time Series ForecastingChina Southern Airlines Airbus A320 Right
MSE0.063
14
Showing 10 of 13 rows

Other info

Follow for update