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Uniform Inductive Spatio-Temporal Kriging

About

Inductive spatio-temporal kriging infers signals at unobserved locations from observed sensors, but real-world observations are often incomplete and exhibit block-wise missingness caused by failures, interruptions, or maintenance. A common impute-then-krige pipeline suffers from objective mismatch: better reconstruction on observed sensors does not necessarily improve downstream kriging, and value-dependent imputation bias can be propagated to unobserved nodes. We propose UniSTOK, a plug-and-play framework for inductive spatio-temporal kriging under incomplete observations. We first introduce Reliability-guided Signal Regulation (RSR), which estimates entry-wise reliability from temporal continuity and spatial support, and uses it to regulate the input signals so that reliable observations are emphasized while long-gap or weakly supported entries are suppressed before spatial propagation. We further introduce Residual Bias Calibration (RBC), which estimates value-conditioned residual prototypes after the main predictor converges and learns context-correction amplitudes to adaptively calibrate systematic over- or under-estimation in final kriging predictions. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show that UniSTOK consistently improves multiple kriging backbones.

Lewei Xie, Haoyu Zhang, Yulong Chen, Liangjun You, Zongxian Yang, Yifan Zhang• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Spatio-Temporal KrigingMETR-LA (Random)
MAE5.79
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingMETR-LA (Block)
MAE5.92
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingMETR-LA (Mixed)
MAE5.84
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingPEMS-BAY (random)
MAE3.39
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingPEMS-BAY (Block)
MAE3.5
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingPEMS-BAY (Mixed)
MAE3.37
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingNREL (Random)
MAE1.16
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingNREL (Block)
MAE1.49
10
Spatio-Temporal KrigingNREL (Mixed)
MAE1.16
10
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