FreqCycle: A Multi-Scale Time-Frequency Analysis Method for Time Series Forecasting
About
Mining time-frequency features is critical for time series forecasting. Existing research has predominantly focused on modeling low-frequency patterns, where most time series energy is concentrated. The overlooking of mid to high frequency continues to limit further performance gains in deep learning models. We propose FreqCycle, a novel framework integrating: (i) a Filter-Enhanced Cycle Forecasting (FECF) module to extract low-frequency features by explicitly learning shared periodic patterns in the time domain, and (ii) a Segmented Frequency-domain Pattern Learning (SFPL) module to enhance mid to high frequency energy proportion via learnable filters and adaptive weighting. Furthermore, time series data often exhibit coupled multi-periodicity, such as intertwined weekly and daily cycles. To address coupled multi-periodicity as well as long lookback window challenges, we extend FreqCycle hierarchically into MFreqCycle, which decouples nested periodic features through cross-scale interactions. Extensive experiments on seven diverse domain benchmarks demonstrate that FreqCycle achieves state-of-the-art accuracy while maintaining faster inference speeds, striking an optimal balance between performance and efficiency.
Related benchmarks
| Task | Dataset | Result | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time Series Forecasting | ETTh1 (test) | MSE0.428 | 348 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | ETTm1 (test) | MSE0.372 | 278 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | Traffic (test) | MSE0.448 | 251 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | ETTh2 (test) | MSE0.371 | 232 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | Weather (test) | MSE0.243 | 200 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | ETTm2 (test) | MSE0.263 | 171 | |
| Time Series Forecasting | ECL (test) | MSE0.168 | 93 |