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TimeSqueeze: Dynamic Patching for Efficient Time Series Forecasting

About

Transformer-based time series foundation models face a fundamental trade-off in choice of tokenization: point-wise embeddings preserve temporal fidelity but scale poorly with sequence length, whereas fixed-length patching improves efficiency by imposing uniform boundaries that may disrupt natural transitions and blur informative local dynamics. In order to address these limitations, we introduce TimeSqueeze, a dynamic patching mechanism that adaptively selects patch boundaries within each sequence based on local signal complexity. TimeSqueeze first applies a lightweight state-space encoder to extract full-resolution point-wise features, then performs content-aware segmentation by allocating short patches to information-dense regions and long patches to smooth or redundant segments. This variable-resolution compression preserves critical temporal structure while substantially reducing the token sequence presented to the Transformer backbone. Specifically for large-scale pretraining, TimeSqueeze attains up to 20x faster convergence and 8x higher data efficiency compared to equivalent point-token baselines. Experiments across long-horizon forecasting benchmarks show that TimeSqueeze consistently outperforms comparable architectures that use either point-wise tokenization or fixed-size patching.

Sravan Kumar Ankireddy, Nikita Seleznev, Nam H. Nguyen, Yulun Wu, Senthil Kumar, Furong Huang, C. Bayan Bruss• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Time Series ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.359
729
Multivariate ForecastingETTh1
MSE0.422
686
Time Series ForecastingETTh2
MSE0.282
561
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm1
MSE0.362
466
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTm2
MSE0.272
389
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.23
340
Time Series ForecastingWeather
MSE0.167
295
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTh2 (test)
MSE0.347
187
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingETTh1 (test)
MSE0.432
150
Multivariate Time-series ForecastingWeather (test)
MSE0.243
140
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