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Virtual Smart Metering in District Heating Networks via Heterogeneous Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

About

Intelligent operation of thermal energy networks aims to improve energy efficiency, reliability, and operational flexibility through data-driven control, predictive optimization, and early fault detection. Achieving these goals relies on sufficient observability, requiring continuous and well-distributed monitoring of thermal and hydraulic states. However, district heating systems are typically sparsely instrumented and frequently affected by sensor faults, limiting monitoring. Virtual sensing offers a cost-effective means to enhance observability, yet its development and validation remain limited in practice. Existing data-driven methods generally assume dense synchronized data, while analytical models rely on simplified hydraulic and thermal assumptions that may not adequately capture the behavior of heterogeneous network topologies. Consequently, modeling the coupled nonlinear dependencies between pressure, flow, and temperature under realistic operating conditions remains challenging. In addition, the lack of publicly available benchmark datasets hinders systematic comparison of virtual sensing approaches. To address these challenges, we propose a heterogeneous spatial-temporal graph neural network (HSTGNN) for constructing virtual smart heat meters. The model incorporates the functional relationships inherent in district heating networks and employs dedicated branches to learn graph structures and temporal dynamics for flow, temperature, and pressure measurements, thereby enabling the joint modeling of cross-variable and spatial correlations. To support further research, we introduce a controlled laboratory dataset collected at the Aalborg Smart Water Infrastructure Laboratory, providing synchronized high-resolution measurements representative of real operating conditions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed approach significantly outperforms existing baselines.

Keivan Faghih Niresi, Christian M{\o}ller Jensen, Carsten Skovmose Kalles{\o}e, Rafael Wisniewski, Olga Fink• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Flow Rate PredictionDataset 4 SM1
RMSE0.1803
6
Flow Rate PredictionDataset 4 SM2
RMSE0.159
6
Inlet Temperature PredictionDataset 4 SM1
RMSE0.1722
6
Inlet Temperature PredictionDataset 4 SM2
RMSE0.1115
6
Outlet Temperature PredictionDataset 4 SM1
RMSE0.1656
6
Outlet Temperature PredictionDataset 4 SM2
RMSE0.074
6
Virtual SensingDataset 3 SM1 Flow Rate
RMSE0.1439
6
Virtual SensingDataset 3 SM1 Inlet Temperature
RMSE0.2247
6
Virtual SensingDataset 3 SM1 Outlet Temperature
RMSE0.232
6
Virtual SensingDataset SM2 Flow Rate 3
RMSE0.0991
6
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