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PnP-Corrector: A Universal Correction Framework for Coupled Spatiotemporal Forecasting

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Coupled spatiotemporal forecasting is important for predicting the future evolution of multiple interacting dynamical systems, such as in climate models. However, existing methods are severely constrained by the persistent bottleneck of compounding errors. In coupled systems, errors from each subsystem simulator propagate and amplify one another, a phenomenon we term Reciprocal Error Amplification, leading to a rapid collapse of long-range predictions. To address this challenge, we propose a universal framework called PnP-Corrector (Plug-and-Play Corrector). The core idea of our framework is to decouple the physical simulation from the error correction process: it freezes pre-trained physics simulation engines and exclusively trains a correction agent to proactively counteract the systematic biases emerging from the coupled system. Furthermore, we design an efficient predictive model architecture, DSLCast, to serve as the backbone of this framework. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method significantly enhances the long-term stability and accuracy of coupled forecasting systems. For instance, in the challenging task of a 300-day global ocean-atmosphere coupled forecast, our PnP-Corrector framework reduces the prediction error of the baseline model by 28% and surpasses state-of-the-art models on several key metrics.

Hao Wu, Fan Xu, Yuxu Lu, Penghao Zhao, Fan Zhang, Hao Jia, Yuxuan Liang, Ruijian Gou, Qingsong Wen, Xian Wu, Xiaomeng Huang, Yuan Gao• 2026

Related benchmarks

TaskDatasetResultRank
Spatiotemporal forecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land 120-day forecast
RMSE0.8577
12
Spatiotemporal forecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land 180-day forecast
RMSE0.8979
12
Spatiotemporal forecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land 240-day forecast
RMSE0.9377
12
Spatiotemporal forecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land 300-day forecast
RMSE0.9671
12
Coupled Spatiotemporal ForecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land (166 variables) 240-day lead time
RMSE0.9377
6
Coupled Spatiotemporal ForecastingGlobal ocean-weather-land 166 variables 300-day lead time
RMSE0.9671
6
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